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The 33rd edition of the Olympic Games, Paris 2024, is set to begin with the opening ceremony on July 26 next year. With less than a year remaining until the international multi-sporting event, Gracenote, an agency of Nielsen, released its first Virtual Medal Table (VMT) forecast for the Olympics on July 26, 2023. They have predicted that the United States of America is expected to win the most medals in the Summer Olympics, piping China for the first place, similarly to Tokyo 2020.
Gracenote has made the prediction of the gold, silver, and bronze medal counts for all the participating countries and athletes in Paris 2024, with the use of available results from key competitions, both globally and continentally, since the last Olympics, which happened in July 2021. They have also omitted the Russian and Belarussian athletes from their initial analysis, because they were not allowed to compete in most Olympic sports since February 2022.
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According to the study, the United States of America is projected to win 128 medals in the upcoming Paris Olympics, 15 more than the previous games, across 30 different sports, which will be a new record in its own right. In the second place, China could have a decreased medal count from 89 in Tokyo 2020 to 68 in the upcoming games, because of drop in performances from their athletes in the international competitions recently.
The hosts of Paris 2024, France are set to nearly double their medal tally to 63 from the last Olympiad, including 30 golds, to potentially finish in third place as per Gracenote analysis. Great Britain, the Western European nation is projected to win more than 60 medals in the fourth consecutive Olympics, which could see them take fourth place on the medal tally.
The top 10 on the virtual medal table are Japan with 54, Italy with 45, Australia with 42, Netherlands with 41, Germany with 35, and Republic of Korea with 29. Meanwhile, India is expected to be out of the top 30 nations list, with medals in single digits.
